Crypto 360°

Sunday, 16 December 2018

copying from r/ethtrader , ( not relating to bch , but still )

https://www.reddit.com/r/ethtrader/comments/a65s7h/who_was_here_and_survived_the_last_big_crash_in/

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I was there.

Last time was way way worse, there were actual reasons to worry. Trading was severely centralized in Mt. Gox and it being run as a fractional reserve put the entire market into question.

Was also there during the DAO hack, the first few days were very concerning. I thought seriously of selling my Ether. After reading a lot and understanding the problem from a technical perspective I ended up buying more Ether. The way it was handled made me understand that the Ethereum community was something else and that the Ethereum Foundation had the right leadership and principled approach to make the project succeed.

This time I see not much reasons to be concerned. Tech keeps progressing and in the right direction, the fundamentals are much better than they have ever been.

Here is what I see, a few disordered thoughts written from my phone:

Crypto enthusiasts are rather young and with that comes impatience. How wouldn't they?! 4 years is almost 25% of their existence. So seeing how the tech progresses slower than expected can discourage many.

Most people have not worked in large-scale and difficult research projects, estimating deadlines is pretty much impossible. It will always be finished later than your worst estimations. And that can discourage the not so young ones. I think the Ethereum researchers made a rookie communication mistake promising deadlines.

The markets got veery far ahead of themselves, propelled by some likely manipulation (the whole USDT always smelled like shit to me and still don't trust it) and market mania that attracts the get rich quick types. A correction was more than necessary.

There is an eerie feeling of recession in the air. The financial market as a whole are nervous, capitals flight riskier investments first. Crypto bubble poped, next went the emerging markets... I also expect crypto to recover first and faster, specially if the next crisis is a debt fueled crisis as it seems to be.

The ICO craze is taking a rough one on ETH. People threw money stupidly to unfinished projects for tokens that didn't even grant ownership on the project or its future revenues (few exceptions aside, like that casino that paid dividends). Now those projects are unloading their ETH as their opportunity to cash out on their scams seems to be running thin. This is creating a mispricing as there is more ETH being unloaded on the markets than people ready to buy it. The biggest opportunities to make money are always in situations like these, when the markets are not efficient.

submitted by /u/mohtasham22
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source https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/a6ieon/2013_vs_2018_crash_someone_who_faced_the_2013/

Crypto 360°

Sunday, 16 December 2018

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