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submitted by /u/AlbionArguru [link] [comments] |
Monday, 12 August 2019
Another notch in fair value's cap - An analysis from the University of Texas alleges Tether manipulation of BTC's price and cryptocurrency markets in general. Fair value remains wholly immune to such manipulation however!
Link - University of Texas – Tether is used to provide price support and manipulate Bitcoin price
The most important parts:
First, if the Tether founders, like most early cryptocurrency adopters and exchanges, are long on Bitcoin, they have a large incentive to create an artificial demand for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies by ’printing’ Tether. Similar to the inflationary effect of printing additional money, this can push cryptocurrency prices up.
Second, the coordinated supply of Tether creates an opportunity to manipulate cryptocurrencies. When prices are falling, the Tether creators can convert their Tether into Bitcoin in a way that pushes Bitcoin up and then sell some Bitcoin back into dollars to replenish Tether reserves as Bitcoin price rises.
Tether is created, moved to Bitfinex, and then slowly moved out to other crypto-exchanges, mainly Poloniex and Bittrex. Interestingly, almost no Tether returns to the Tether issuer to be redeemed, and the major exchange where Tether can be exchanged for USD, Kraken, accounts for only a small proportion of transactions. Tether also flows out to other exchanges and entities and becomes more widespread over time as a medium of exchange.
Ok, so here we are. We've discussed this before. As others have noticed, as well as myself this should be familiar territory, right? Tl;dr Fair value is a much better way for us to price our coins than using exchanges. Why is this? Well read the article and quote above. The site where they calculate it is:
https://www.coinfairvalue.com/
And their reference page for further reading is here:
https://www.coinfairvalue.com/reference/
The way this manipulation works is that these groups use Tether to support their assets and make them look better on exchanges. This is not inline with investor demands or activity, which means its speculation designed to create long term uncertainty in the real price of the underlying assets in question (BTC and so-called 'alt' coins). I.e. MANIPULATION. This is done mainly to force the narrative on us that BTC remains the huge dominating cryptocurrency with a majority of the market share. But it is all a mirage. By fair value, e.g. BTC is only about 30% of the entire community and falling. This is as opposed to BTC's ~60% dominance by exchange price.
BTC is not useful for POS. According to Ryan Taylor who is the CEO of Dash Core Group (DCG) the protocol developers for Dash, about 95% of retail payments still happen at the point of sale in real life. That means that if you can't do that you're not a real currency. We know that other coins such as Dash and Bitcoin Cash are faster and more reliable, plus they both offer at least wallet-level support for privacy features. BTC offers Wasabi but I'm not sure how usable it is with the fee situation.
The point is that, like some other coins, BTC's usage and dominance in the market is illusory. And the means by which that illusion is maintained is price rigging. THIS IS WHY WE NEED TO SWITCH TO FAIR VALUE. Fair value is IMMUNE to exchange price rigging. COMPLETELY. If it seems like I'm yelling its because I am. We literally have the solution to this problem staring us in the face for a year and a half at least now and do not use it. How is fair value immune to price manipulation?
Understand what fair value is and what price is. They are actually the same thing. The difference, however, comes in how they're calculated and arrive at their value. Exchange price is closer to an 'educated guess' than an actual measurement, so the example below is a bit more generous than it should be. Fair value, however, is a direct measurement of the value the people who own the coins are giving them away for. To vizualize this difference, imagine trying to figure out how fast a car is going on a stretch of road. Now, let's say you have two experimenters, exp. 1 and 2.
Exp 1 is given access to the total trip location data for the car as well as a data from the digital stopwatch used to time the run. The stopwatch starts as soon as the car crosses a laser sight at the beginning and the same at the end. Meanwhile, Exp 2 is given a stopwatch and told to stand at the finish line, visually confirm the beginning of the test, and start the stopwatch. Also, they are to stop the watch manually as soon as the car passes. Which experimenter is likely to have the more accurate conclusion of the car's velocity?
Its obvious that exp 1 should come out on top most of the time, but why? Because his data is more reliable than exp 2. Sure, if you gave exp 2 10 test laps to average it out, a coffee to keep from being bored, and a good stop watch you should be able to get some close results. But what if the experimenter has bad eyesight? Slow reaction time? Is malicious/paid off/biased for some reason?
In these cases, there's a lot more room to fudge the data and come up with bad answers. That's the difference between fair value and exchange price. Exchange price is an educated guess at what the people who hold cryptocurrencies think they're worth; however, this guess is almost completely disconnected from the blockchains themselves.
As you can see from this article, there are several flaws to the exchange pricing mechanism that allow easy manipulations to take place under cover of the sea of data that is crypto transactions. The entire market being priced in one asset (BTC) being a huge one. You can literally wipe billions of dollars of value out of the market using just one asset. Do we know any people who like doing things like that? Hmm, I wonder.
Fair value is cryptocurrency pricing done the right way. Using data from the blockchain, i.e.
- Daily transactions
- Total discounted Supply (different than just issued coins)
- Basket
- Velocity
Fair value is able to much more accurately assess the true price that the people who own the coins are selling them for. And because fair value comes from the chains themselves instead of exchanges, which do not make the vast majority of their trades on-chain, fair value is completely immune to every problem that plagues our price reviews on exchanges! Fair value is priced by each coin's data so no "BTC crashes entire market" again. No whale moves manipulating the price (unless its an actual whale making an actual price, but even then the larger the market becomes the more the whale turns into a minnow). No more Tether shenanningans! Fair value is what we didn't know we needed, way before we needed it.
[link] [comments]
source https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/cp435p/another_notch_in_fair_values_cap_an_analysis_from/
Bitcoin Cash P2P electronic cash for 48% of the world. What about the other 52% who don't have internet access?
Is there a way or will there be a way for people to use Bitcoin Cash without internet. Why don't you print Bitcoin Cash paper encrypted smart bills so that everybody can use it?
[link] [comments]
source https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/cp4357/bitcoin_cash_p2p_electronic_cash_for_48_of_the/
Money is about faith and relationships and has little to do with paper, Lonergan says. "One thing that's very clear about it is that the value of money is not a physical thing," he says. "Physical things can represent the money in a sense. But that isn't what it is."
A quote I just read from an article about paper money. I feel like it applies here so perfectly.
Here is a link to the article if interested
[link] [comments]
source https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/cp3p7q/money_is_about_faith_and_relationships_and_has/
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