Is there an estimate on how many bitcoins are lost on old harddisks and will not be able to recover anymore? And is this estimated amount subtracted from the circulating supply which is used to calculate the market cap? When there is a bitcoin fork, these lost bitcoins will also never be claimed on the forked chain. And in that sense bitcoin is scarcer good then most people think. Everyone mentions that in total 21 million bitcoins will be created but many of those 21 million bitcoins are already lost.
At the same time I suspect that crypto holders are dying on a monthly basis without sufficiently backing up their wallet keys and handing them over to their family members. These unrecoverable bitcoins are in essence "burned" and in that means that bitcoin is becoming scarcer every day (albeit at a slower rate than with the lost harddisks).
I'm very interested in estimations on this, as I believe bitcoin to be a scarcer good than we think.
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